Templeton Global Bond Fund Market Value

FGBRX Fund  USD 6.83  0.01  0.15%   
Templeton Global's market value is the price at which a share of Templeton Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Templeton Global Bond investors about its performance. Templeton Global is trading at 6.83 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.15% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.82.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Templeton Global Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Templeton Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Templeton Global Correlation, Templeton Global Volatility and Templeton Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Templeton Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Templeton Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Templeton Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Templeton Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Templeton Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Templeton Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Templeton Global.
0.00
08/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Templeton Global on August 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Templeton Global Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Templeton Global over 90 days. Templeton Global is related to or competes with Franklin Mutual, Templeton Developing, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Templeton Foreign, and Templeton Foreign. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in bonds More

Templeton Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Templeton Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Templeton Global Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Templeton Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Templeton Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Templeton Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Templeton Global historical prices to predict the future Templeton Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.266.837.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.336.907.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.206.777.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.746.836.92
Details

Templeton Global Bond Backtested Returns

Templeton Global Bond owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.19, which indicates the fund had a -0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Templeton Global Bond exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Templeton Global's Coefficient Of Variation of (625.29), variance of 0.3383, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.025, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Templeton Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Templeton Global is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.26  

Weak reverse predictability

Templeton Global Bond has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Templeton Global time series from 28th of August 2024 to 12th of October 2024 and 12th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Templeton Global Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Templeton Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.26
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Templeton Global Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Templeton Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Templeton Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Templeton Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Templeton Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Templeton Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Templeton Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Templeton Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Templeton Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Templeton Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Templeton Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Templeton Global mutual fund have on its future price. Templeton Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Templeton Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Templeton Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Templeton Global Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Templeton Mutual Fund

Templeton Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton Global security.
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