Federated International Leaders Fund Market Value

FGFLX Fund  USD 36.94  0.07  0.19%   
Federated International's market value is the price at which a share of Federated International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Federated International Leaders investors about its performance. Federated International is trading at 36.94 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.19 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 36.87.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Federated International Leaders and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Federated International over a given investment horizon. Check out Federated International Correlation, Federated International Volatility and Federated International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Federated International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Federated International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federated International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federated International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Federated International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated International.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Federated International on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated International Leaders or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated International over 720 days. Federated International is related to or competes with Scharf Global, T Rowe, Iaadx, Arrow Managed, Qs Us, and Balanced Fund. The fund pursues its investment objective of long-term capital growth by investing primarily in a portfolio of equity se... More

Federated International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated International Leaders upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Federated International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated International historical prices to predict the future Federated International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.0536.9437.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.4637.3538.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.8336.7337.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.3637.0637.75
Details

Federated International Backtested Returns

Federated International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which denotes the fund had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Federated International Leaders exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Federated International's Mean Deviation of 0.6886, standard deviation of 0.8766, and Variance of 0.7685 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.51, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Federated International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.28  

Poor predictability

Federated International Leaders has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated International time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Federated International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.56

Federated International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Federated International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federated International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federated International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federated International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Federated International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federated International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federated International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federated International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Federated International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Federated International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federated International mutual fund have on its future price. Federated International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federated International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federated International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federated International Leaders.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in FEDERATED Mutual Fund

Federated International financial ratios help investors to determine whether FEDERATED Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FEDERATED with respect to the benefits of owning Federated International security.
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