Fidelity China Region Fund Market Value
| FHKTX Fund | USD 38.05 0.36 0.96% |
| Symbol | Fidelity |
Fidelity China 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity China's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity China.
| 10/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fidelity China on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity China Region or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity China over 30 days. Fidelity China is related to or competes with Rbc Short, Angel Oak, Federated Short-intermedia, Maryland Short, and Locorr Long/short. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of assets in securities of Hong Kong, Taiwanese, and Chinese issuers and o... More
Fidelity China Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity China's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity China Region upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.73) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.43 |
Fidelity China Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity China's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity China's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity China historical prices to predict the future Fidelity China's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0476 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1145 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.36) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fidelity China Region Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Fidelity Mutual Fund to be very steady. Fidelity China Region secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0605, which denotes the fund had a 0.0605% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Fidelity China Region, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Fidelity China's Downside Deviation of 1.51, mean deviation of 1.23, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1825.39 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.24, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fidelity China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fidelity China is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.14 |
Insignificant predictability
Fidelity China Region has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity China time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity China Region price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Fidelity China price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.14 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.41 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Fidelity China Region lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity China mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity China's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity China returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity China has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Fidelity China regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity China mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity China mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity China mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Fidelity China Lagged Returns
When evaluating Fidelity China's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity China mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity China autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity China autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity China mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity China Region.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund
Fidelity China financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity China security.
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