Fine Organic (India) Market Value

FINEORG Stock   5,145  451.50  9.62%   
Fine Organic's market value is the price at which a share of Fine Organic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fine Organic Industries investors about its performance. Fine Organic is trading at 5144.80 as of the 24th of November 2024. This is a 9.62 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4698.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fine Organic Industries and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fine Organic over a given investment horizon. Check out Fine Organic Correlation, Fine Organic Volatility and Fine Organic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fine Organic.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fine Organic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fine Organic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fine Organic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fine Organic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fine Organic's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fine Organic.
0.00
08/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fine Organic on August 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fine Organic Industries or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fine Organic over 90 days. Fine Organic is related to or competes with NMDC, Steel Authority, Embassy Office, Gujarat Alkalies, Indian Metals, and JTL Industries. Fine Organic is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Fine Organic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fine Organic's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fine Organic Industries upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fine Organic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fine Organic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fine Organic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fine Organic historical prices to predict the future Fine Organic's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,1315,1335,659
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,2664,2695,659
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,9524,9544,957
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
35.7537.0837.70
Details

Fine Organic Industries Backtested Returns

Fine Organic Industries secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0343, which denotes the company had a -0.0343% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fine Organic Industries exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fine Organic's Mean Deviation of 1.59, variance of 5.17, and Standard Deviation of 2.27 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0471, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fine Organic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fine Organic is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Fine Organic Industries has a negative expected return of -0.079%. Please make sure to confirm Fine Organic's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Fine Organic Industries performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.28  

Poor predictability

Fine Organic Industries has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fine Organic time series from 26th of August 2024 to 10th of October 2024 and 10th of October 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fine Organic Industries price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Fine Organic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance36 K

Fine Organic Industries lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fine Organic stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fine Organic's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fine Organic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fine Organic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fine Organic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fine Organic stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fine Organic stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fine Organic stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fine Organic Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fine Organic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fine Organic stock have on its future price. Fine Organic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fine Organic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fine Organic stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fine Organic Industries.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fine Stock

Fine Organic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fine Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fine with respect to the benefits of owning Fine Organic security.