Franklin Federal Tax Free Fund Market Value

FKTIX Fund  USD 10.75  0.03  0.28%   
Franklin Federal's market value is the price at which a share of Franklin Federal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Franklin Federal Tax Free investors about its performance. Franklin Federal is trading at 10.75 as of the 24th of January 2025; that is 0.28% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Franklin Federal Tax Free and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Franklin Federal over a given investment horizon. Check out Franklin Federal Correlation, Franklin Federal Volatility and Franklin Federal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin Federal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Franklin Federal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin Federal's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin Federal.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
01/24/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Franklin Federal on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin Federal Tax Free or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin Federal over 90 days. Franklin Federal is related to or competes with Voya High, Virtus High, T Rowe, Msift High, Lord Abbett, Guggenheim High, and Neuberger Berman. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in investment grade municipal securities whose interest is free... More

Franklin Federal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin Federal's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin Federal Tax Free upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Franklin Federal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin Federal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin Federal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin Federal historical prices to predict the future Franklin Federal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4410.7511.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4610.7711.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4810.7911.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6510.7510.84
Details

Franklin Federal Tax Backtested Returns

Franklin Federal Tax secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which denotes the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Franklin Federal Tax Free exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Franklin Federal's Coefficient Of Variation of (29,013), mean deviation of 0.1992, and Standard Deviation of 0.3104 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0527, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Franklin Federal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Franklin Federal is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.53  

Good reverse predictability

Franklin Federal Tax Free has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin Federal time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of December 2024 and 10th of December 2024 to 24th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin Federal Tax price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Franklin Federal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.53
Spearman Rank Test-0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Franklin Federal Tax lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Franklin Federal mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin Federal's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin Federal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin Federal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Franklin Federal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin Federal mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin Federal mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin Federal mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Franklin Federal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Franklin Federal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin Federal mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin Federal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin Federal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin Federal mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin Federal Tax Free.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Federal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Federal security.
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