Firefly Aerospace Common Stock Market Value
| FLY Stock | USD 23.34 3.70 13.68% |
| Symbol | Firefly |
Firefly Aerospace Common Company Valuation
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Firefly Aerospace. If investors know Firefly will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Firefly Aerospace listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Firefly Aerospace Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Firefly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Firefly Aerospace's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Firefly Aerospace's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Firefly Aerospace's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Firefly Aerospace's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Firefly Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Firefly Aerospace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Firefly Aerospace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Firefly Aerospace 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Firefly Aerospace's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Firefly Aerospace.
| 01/12/2023 |
| 12/27/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Firefly Aerospace on January 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Firefly Aerospace Common or generate 0.0% return on investment in Firefly Aerospace over 1080 days. Firefly Aerospace is related to or competes with VSE, Intuitive Machines, GrafTech International, AAR Corp, Tutor Perini, Planet Labs, and MYR. Fly Leasing Limited, through its subsidiaries, purchases and leases commercial aircraft under multi-year contracts to va... More
Firefly Aerospace Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Firefly Aerospace's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Firefly Aerospace Common upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 32.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (12.87) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.38 |
Firefly Aerospace Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Firefly Aerospace's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Firefly Aerospace's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Firefly Aerospace historical prices to predict the future Firefly Aerospace's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.63) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.14) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.13) |
Firefly Aerospace Common Backtested Returns
Firefly Aerospace Common secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0587, which denotes the company had a -0.0587 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Firefly Aerospace Common exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Firefly Aerospace's Standard Deviation of 7.29, variance of 53.18, and Mean Deviation of 5.29 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.12, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Firefly Aerospace will likely underperform. At this point, Firefly Aerospace Common has a negative expected return of -0.44%. Please make sure to confirm Firefly Aerospace's total risk alpha, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and period momentum indicator , to decide if Firefly Aerospace Common performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.00 |
No correlation between past and present
Firefly Aerospace Common has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Firefly Aerospace time series from 12th of January 2023 to 5th of July 2024 and 5th of July 2024 to 27th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Firefly Aerospace Common price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Firefly Aerospace price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.0 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Firefly Aerospace Common lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Firefly Aerospace stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Firefly Aerospace's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Firefly Aerospace returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Firefly Aerospace has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Firefly Aerospace regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Firefly Aerospace stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Firefly Aerospace stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Firefly Aerospace stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Firefly Aerospace Lagged Returns
When evaluating Firefly Aerospace's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Firefly Aerospace stock have on its future price. Firefly Aerospace autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Firefly Aerospace autocorrelation shows the relationship between Firefly Aerospace stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Firefly Aerospace Common.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Firefly Stock Analysis
When running Firefly Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Firefly Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firefly Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Firefly Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firefly Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firefly Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firefly Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.