Freeport McMoRan (Germany) Market Value

FPMB Stock  EUR 35.13  0.87  2.42%   
Freeport McMoRan's market value is the price at which a share of Freeport McMoRan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Freeport McMoRan investors about its performance. Freeport McMoRan is trading at 35.13 as of the 2nd of March 2025. This is a 2.42 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 35.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Freeport McMoRan and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Freeport McMoRan over a given investment horizon. Check out Freeport McMoRan Correlation, Freeport McMoRan Volatility and Freeport McMoRan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Freeport McMoRan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Freeport McMoRan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freeport McMoRan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freeport McMoRan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Freeport McMoRan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Freeport McMoRan's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Freeport McMoRan.
0.00
01/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Freeport McMoRan on January 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Freeport McMoRan or generate 0.0% return on investment in Freeport McMoRan over 30 days. Freeport McMoRan is related to or competes with Gold Road, Sunny Optical, Yuexiu Transport, BioNTech, Transport International, and Kingdee International. Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in North America, South America, and Indonesia More

Freeport McMoRan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Freeport McMoRan's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Freeport McMoRan upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Freeport McMoRan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Freeport McMoRan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Freeport McMoRan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Freeport McMoRan historical prices to predict the future Freeport McMoRan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.7435.1337.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.1136.5038.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.7734.1636.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.1636.3338.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Freeport McMoRan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Freeport McMoRan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Freeport McMoRan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Freeport McMoRan.

Freeport McMoRan Backtested Returns

Freeport McMoRan secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which denotes the company had a -0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Freeport McMoRan exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Freeport McMoRan's Mean Deviation of 1.77, variance of 5.37, and Standard Deviation of 2.32 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0266, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Freeport McMoRan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Freeport McMoRan is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Freeport McMoRan has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to confirm Freeport McMoRan's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Freeport McMoRan performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.91  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Freeport McMoRan has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Freeport McMoRan time series from 31st of January 2025 to 15th of February 2025 and 15th of February 2025 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Freeport McMoRan price movement. The serial correlation of -0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Freeport McMoRan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.91
Spearman Rank Test-0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.25

Freeport McMoRan lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Freeport McMoRan stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Freeport McMoRan's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Freeport McMoRan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Freeport McMoRan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Freeport McMoRan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Freeport McMoRan stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Freeport McMoRan stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Freeport McMoRan stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Freeport McMoRan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Freeport McMoRan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Freeport McMoRan stock have on its future price. Freeport McMoRan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Freeport McMoRan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Freeport McMoRan stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Freeport McMoRan.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Freeport Stock

Freeport McMoRan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Freeport Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Freeport with respect to the benefits of owning Freeport McMoRan security.