Franklin Microcap Value Fund Market Value
| FRMCX Fund | USD 33.25 0.01 0.03% |
| Symbol | Franklin |
Franklin Microcap 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin Microcap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin Microcap.
| 09/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Franklin Microcap on September 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin Microcap Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin Microcap over 60 days. Franklin Microcap is related to or competes with Franklin Mutual, Templeton Developing, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Templeton Foreign, and Templeton Foreign. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in investments of small-capitalization and mid-capitalization com... More
Franklin Microcap Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin Microcap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin Microcap Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0172 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.80) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.82 |
Franklin Microcap Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin Microcap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin Microcap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin Microcap historical prices to predict the future Franklin Microcap's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0928 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0204 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0947 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Microcap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Franklin Microcap Value Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Franklin Mutual Fund to be very steady. Franklin Microcap Value secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which denotes the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Franklin Microcap Value, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Franklin Microcap's Semi Deviation of 0.8604, downside deviation of 1.07, and Mean Deviation of 0.8831 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.45, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Franklin Microcap will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.23 |
Weak predictability
Franklin Microcap Value has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin Microcap time series from 29th of September 2024 to 29th of October 2024 and 29th of October 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin Microcap Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Franklin Microcap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.23 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.35 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.23 |
Franklin Microcap Value lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Franklin Microcap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin Microcap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin Microcap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin Microcap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Franklin Microcap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin Microcap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin Microcap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin Microcap mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Franklin Microcap Lagged Returns
When evaluating Franklin Microcap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin Microcap mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin Microcap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin Microcap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin Microcap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin Microcap Value.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund
Franklin Microcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Microcap security.
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