First Southern's market value is the price at which a share of First Southern trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of First Southern Bank investors about its performance. First Southern is trading at 16.00 as of the 31st of December 2025. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 16.0. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of First Southern Bank and determine expected loss or profit from investing in First Southern over a given investment horizon. Check out First Southern Correlation, First Southern Volatility and First Southern Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on First Southern.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Southern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Southern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Southern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Southern 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Southern's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Southern.
0.00
12/01/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 30 days
12/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in First Southern on December 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Southern Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Southern over 30 days. First Southern is related to or competes with AMB Financial, CNB, Elmer Bancorp, Huron Valley, Farmers Bank, Jefferson Security, and Bank Utica. FSBH Corp. operates as the bank holding company for First Southern Bank that provides banking services for individuals a... More
First Southern Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Southern's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Southern Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Southern's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Southern's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Southern historical prices to predict the future First Southern's volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Southern. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Southern's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Southern's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Southern Bank.
First Southern Bank Backtested Returns
First Southern appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. First Southern Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which denotes the company had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing First Southern's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.9% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize First Southern's Mean Deviation of 1.81, standard deviation of 6.55, and Variance of 42.86 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Southern holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.04, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning First Southern are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, First Southern is expected to outperform it slightly. Please check First Southern's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to make a quick decision on whether First Southern's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation
-0.46
Modest reverse predictability
First Southern Bank has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Southern time series from 1st of December 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 31st of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Southern Bank price movement. The serial correlation of -0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current First Southern price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.46
Spearman Rank Test
-0.07
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.08
First Southern Bank lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is First Southern pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting First Southern's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of First Southern returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that First Southern has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
First Southern regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If First Southern pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if First Southern pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in First Southern pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
First Southern Lagged Returns
When evaluating First Southern's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of First Southern pink sheet have on its future price. First Southern autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, First Southern autocorrelation shows the relationship between First Southern pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in First Southern Bank.
Other Information on Investing in First Pink Sheet
First Southern financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Southern security.