First Southern Bank Stock Price Prediction
| FSBH Stock | USD 15.80 0.20 1.25% |
Momentum 80
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using First Southern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Southern Bank from the perspective of First Southern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Southern to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Southern after-hype prediction price | USD 18.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
First Southern After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Southern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Southern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of First Southern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Southern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Southern's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Southern's historical news coverage. First Southern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.76 and 25.16, respectively. We have considered First Southern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Southern is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Southern Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Southern Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Southern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Southern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Southern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.90 | 6.70 | 2.66 | 13.28 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.80 | 18.46 | 16.84 |
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First Southern Hype Timeline
First Southern Bank is currently traded for 15.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -13.28. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is estimated to be 16.84%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.9%. The volatility of related hype on First Southern is about 45.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.52. Debt can assist First Southern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, First Southern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like First Southern Bank sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for First to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about First Southern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out First Southern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Southern Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Southern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Southern's future price movements. Getting to know how First Southern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Southern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMFC | AMB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1.48 | (0.60) | 4.40 | |
| CNBZ | CNB Corporation | (17.75) | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.58 | |
| ELMA | Elmer Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.57 | 0.00 | 2.45 | |
| HVLM | Huron Valley Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.38 | |
| FBPA | The Farmers Bank | (24.75) | 3 per month | 1.03 | (0.05) | 1.56 | (0.58) | 11.25 | |
| JFWV | Jefferson Security Bank | (105.00) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 1.98 | 0.00 | 9.47 | |
| BKUTK | Bank Utica Ny | (0.03) | 18 per month | 1.45 | 0.02 | 2.51 | (2.99) | 8.53 | |
| PFBN | Pacific Alliance Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.93 | (0.95) | 3.20 | |
| GTPS | Great American Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | 0.09 | 2.79 | (1.91) | 10.25 | |
| NCXS | National Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | (0.01) | 1.65 | (1.72) | 15.55 |
First Southern Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Southern Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Southern stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Southern Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Southern based on analysis of First Southern hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Southern's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Southern's related companies.
Story Coverage note for First Southern
The number of cover stories for First Southern depends on current market conditions and First Southern's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Southern is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Southern's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for First Pink Sheet analysis
When running First Southern's price analysis, check to measure First Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Southern is operating at the current time. Most of First Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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