First Trust Smid Etf Market Value
| FSCS Etf | 37.02 0.49 1.34% |
| Symbol | First |
Understanding First Trust SMID requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what First Trust's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Trust's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Trust's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
First Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trust's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trust.
| 11/07/2025 |
| 02/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Trust on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trust SMID or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trust over 90 days. First Trust is related to or competes with Matthews China, Matthews Emerging, Morgan Stanley, Neuberger Berman, Harbor ETF, Harbor SMID, and Fidelity Small. First Trust is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NASDAQ exchange. More
First Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trust's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trust SMID upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6385 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0315 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.58 |
First Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trust historical prices to predict the future First Trust's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0864 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0362 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0224 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0372 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1013 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Trust February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0864 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1113 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.5733 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5202 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.6385 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 853.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7537 | |||
| Variance | 0.568 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0315 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0362 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0224 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0372 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1013 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4076 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2706 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.68) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4576 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.2122 |
First Trust SMID Backtested Returns
Currently, First Trust SMID is very steady. First Trust SMID secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which denotes the etf had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Trust SMID, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm First Trust's Mean Deviation of 0.5733, downside deviation of 0.6385, and Coefficient Of Variation of 853.8 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0868%. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.77, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.51 |
Modest predictability
First Trust SMID has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trust time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trust SMID price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current First Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.57 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.15 |
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Check out First Trust Correlation, First Trust Volatility and First Trust Performance module to complement your research on First Trust. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
First Trust technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.