First Trust Smid Etf Performance

FSCS Etf   36.76  0.08  0.22%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.76, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust SMID are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable fundamental indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
1
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2
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First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,471  in First Trust SMID on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  205.00  from holding First Trust SMID or generate 5.91% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust SMID is currently generating 0.0953% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.7353% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 6% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to generate 0.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.01 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust SMID extending back to June 22, 2017. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 36.76, as last reported on the 1st of February, with the highest price reaching 36.82 and the lowest price hitting 36.48 during the day.
3 y Volatility
15.64
200 Day MA
35.926
1 y Volatility
9.69
50 Day MA
36.1566
Inception Date
2017-06-20
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 36.76 90 days 36.76 
about 13.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.77 (This First Trust SMID probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 0.76. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust SMID will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust SMID has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust SMID. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.0336.7737.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.8036.5437.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.7636.5037.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.8636.6837.51
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust SMID, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0016
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.76
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

Assessing First Trust's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into First Trust's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the First Trust is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
First Trust is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NASDAQ exchange.