Templeton Strained Bond Fund Market Value

FTCAX Fund  USD 10.39  0.01  0.1%   
Templeton Constrained's market value is the price at which a share of Templeton Constrained trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Templeton Strained Bond investors about its performance. Templeton Constrained is trading at 10.39 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.1% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Templeton Strained Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Templeton Constrained over a given investment horizon. Check out Templeton Constrained Correlation, Templeton Constrained Volatility and Templeton Constrained Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Templeton Constrained.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Templeton Constrained's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Templeton Constrained is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Templeton Constrained's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Templeton Constrained 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Templeton Constrained's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Templeton Constrained.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Templeton Constrained on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Templeton Strained Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Templeton Constrained over 720 days. Templeton Constrained is related to or competes with Gabelli Convertible, Virtus Convertible, Rational/pier, Calamos Dynamic, and Advent Claymore. Templeton Constrained is entity of United States More

Templeton Constrained Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Templeton Constrained's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Templeton Strained Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Templeton Constrained Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Templeton Constrained's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Templeton Constrained's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Templeton Constrained historical prices to predict the future Templeton Constrained's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3310.3910.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3010.3610.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3310.3910.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3110.3610.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Templeton Constrained. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Templeton Constrained's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Templeton Constrained's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Templeton Strained Bond.

Templeton Strained Bond Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Templeton Mutual Fund to be very steady. Templeton Strained Bond owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.7, which indicates the fund had a 0.7% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Templeton Strained Bond, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Templeton Constrained's Variance of 0.0036, risk adjusted performance of 0.4315, and Coefficient Of Variation of 139.15 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0402%. The entity has a beta of -0.0021, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Templeton Constrained are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Templeton Constrained is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.99  

Perfect predictability

Templeton Strained Bond has perfect predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Templeton Constrained time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Templeton Strained Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.99 indicates that 99.0% of current Templeton Constrained price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.99
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Templeton Strained Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Templeton Constrained mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Templeton Constrained's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Templeton Constrained returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Templeton Constrained has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Templeton Constrained regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Templeton Constrained mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Templeton Constrained mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Templeton Constrained mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Templeton Constrained Lagged Returns

When evaluating Templeton Constrained's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Templeton Constrained mutual fund have on its future price. Templeton Constrained autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Templeton Constrained autocorrelation shows the relationship between Templeton Constrained mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Templeton Strained Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Templeton Mutual Fund

Templeton Constrained financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton Constrained security.
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