Fidelity Value Fund Market Value

FVLKX Fund  USD 16.67  0.04  0.24%   
Fidelity Value's market value is the price at which a share of Fidelity Value trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fidelity Value Fund investors about its performance. Fidelity Value is trading at 16.67 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.24 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 16.63.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fidelity Value Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fidelity Value over a given investment horizon. Check out Fidelity Value Correlation, Fidelity Value Volatility and Fidelity Value Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fidelity Value.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity Value's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity Value is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fidelity Value 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity Value's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity Value.
0.00
10/13/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fidelity Value on October 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity Value Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity Value over 60 days. Fidelity Value is related to or competes with Fidelity Mid, Fidelity Low, Fidelity International, Fidelity Capital, and Fidelity Dividend. The fund invests primarily in common stocks More

Fidelity Value Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity Value's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity Value Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fidelity Value Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Value's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity Value's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity Value historical prices to predict the future Fidelity Value's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8116.6617.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7716.6217.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.4516.3017.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.6016.9317.27
Details

Fidelity Value Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Fidelity Mutual Fund to be very steady. Fidelity Value secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which denotes the fund had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Fidelity Value Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Fidelity Value's Coefficient Of Variation of 561.52, downside deviation of 0.6563, and Mean Deviation of 0.663 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.03, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Fidelity Value returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fidelity Value is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

Fidelity Value Fund has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity Value time series from 13th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity Value price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Fidelity Value price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Fidelity Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity Value mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity Value's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity Value returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity Value has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Value regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity Value mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity Value mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity Value mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Value Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fidelity Value's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity Value mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity Value autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity Value autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity Value mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity Value Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Value security.
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