Ferrexpo PLC (UK) Market Value
| FXPO Stock | 76.50 2.30 2.92% |
| Symbol | Ferrexpo |
Ferrexpo PLC 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ferrexpo PLC's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ferrexpo PLC.
| 10/23/2024 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ferrexpo PLC on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ferrexpo PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ferrexpo PLC over 30 days. Ferrexpo PLC is related to or competes with Central Asia, Coor Service, Sancus Lending, Aeorema Communications, JLEN Environmental, and Hornby PLC. Ferrexpo PLC is entity of United Kingdom More
Ferrexpo PLC Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ferrexpo PLC's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ferrexpo PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1411 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 41.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.25) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.72 |
Ferrexpo PLC Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ferrexpo PLC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ferrexpo PLC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ferrexpo PLC historical prices to predict the future Ferrexpo PLC's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1268 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5504 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2545 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.171 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.204 |
Ferrexpo PLC Backtested Returns
Ferrexpo PLC appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Ferrexpo PLC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which denotes the company had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Ferrexpo PLC's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.87% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Ferrexpo PLC's Mean Deviation of 4.25, downside deviation of 5.04, and Coefficient Of Variation of 638.2 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ferrexpo PLC holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 4.64, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ferrexpo PLC will likely underperform. Please check Ferrexpo PLC's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Ferrexpo PLC's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.35 |
Below average predictability
Ferrexpo PLC has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ferrexpo PLC time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ferrexpo PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Ferrexpo PLC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.35 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.2 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 24.43 |
Ferrexpo PLC lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ferrexpo PLC stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ferrexpo PLC's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ferrexpo PLC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ferrexpo PLC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ferrexpo PLC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ferrexpo PLC stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ferrexpo PLC stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ferrexpo PLC stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ferrexpo PLC Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ferrexpo PLC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ferrexpo PLC stock have on its future price. Ferrexpo PLC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ferrexpo PLC autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ferrexpo PLC stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ferrexpo PLC.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Ferrexpo Stock Analysis
When running Ferrexpo PLC's price analysis, check to measure Ferrexpo PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ferrexpo PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Ferrexpo PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ferrexpo PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ferrexpo PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ferrexpo PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.