TSOGO SUN (Germany) Market Value
| G5E Stock | EUR 0.60 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | TSOGO |
TSOGO SUN 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TSOGO SUN's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TSOGO SUN.
| 09/28/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TSOGO SUN on September 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TSOGO SUN GAMING or generate 0.0% return on investment in TSOGO SUN over 60 days. TSOGO SUN is related to or competes with Perseus Mining, Evolution Mining, RELIANCE STEEL, MCEWEN MINING, and GFL ENVIRONM. Tsogo Sun Gaming Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the gaming and entertainment business in South Afri... More
TSOGO SUN Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TSOGO SUN's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TSOGO SUN GAMING upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.23 |
TSOGO SUN Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TSOGO SUN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TSOGO SUN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TSOGO SUN historical prices to predict the future TSOGO SUN's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.059 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0582 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2589 |
TSOGO SUN GAMING Backtested Returns
At this point, TSOGO SUN is dangerous. TSOGO SUN GAMING owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.056, which indicates the firm had a 0.056% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-five technical indicators for TSOGO SUN GAMING, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate TSOGO SUN's coefficient of variation of 1427.48, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.059 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0942%. TSOGO SUN has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.42, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, TSOGO SUN's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TSOGO SUN is expected to be smaller as well. TSOGO SUN GAMING presently has a risk of 1.68%. Please validate TSOGO SUN sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if TSOGO SUN will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.34 |
Below average predictability
TSOGO SUN GAMING has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TSOGO SUN time series from 28th of September 2024 to 28th of October 2024 and 28th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TSOGO SUN GAMING price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current TSOGO SUN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.41 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
TSOGO SUN GAMING lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is TSOGO SUN stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TSOGO SUN's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TSOGO SUN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TSOGO SUN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
TSOGO SUN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TSOGO SUN stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TSOGO SUN stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TSOGO SUN stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
TSOGO SUN Lagged Returns
When evaluating TSOGO SUN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TSOGO SUN stock have on its future price. TSOGO SUN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TSOGO SUN autocorrelation shows the relationship between TSOGO SUN stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TSOGO SUN GAMING.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in TSOGO Stock
TSOGO SUN financial ratios help investors to determine whether TSOGO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TSOGO with respect to the benefits of owning TSOGO SUN security.