Simplify Exchange Traded Etf Market Value
| GAEM Etf | 26.30 0.03 0.11% |
| Symbol | Simplify |
Simplify Exchange 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Simplify Exchange's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Simplify Exchange.
| 02/09/2023 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Simplify Exchange on February 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Simplify Exchange Traded or generate 0.0% return on investment in Simplify Exchange over 660 days.
Simplify Exchange Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Simplify Exchange's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Simplify Exchange Traded upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.211 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.31) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3899 |
Simplify Exchange Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Simplify Exchange's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Simplify Exchange's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Simplify Exchange historical prices to predict the future Simplify Exchange's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1736 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0408 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0114 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.36) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.59 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Simplify Exchange's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Simplify Exchange Traded Backtested Returns
As of now, Simplify Etf is very steady. Simplify Exchange Traded owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.27, which indicates the etf had a 0.27% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Simplify Exchange Traded, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate Simplify Exchange's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1736, downside deviation of 0.211, and Standard Deviation of 0.2432 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0669%. The entity has a beta of 0.0882, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Simplify Exchange's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Simplify Exchange is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.00 |
No correlation between past and present
Simplify Exchange Traded has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Simplify Exchange time series from 9th of February 2023 to 5th of January 2024 and 5th of January 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Simplify Exchange Traded price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Simplify Exchange price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.0 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Simplify Exchange Traded lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Simplify Exchange etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Simplify Exchange's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Simplify Exchange returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Simplify Exchange has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Simplify Exchange regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Simplify Exchange etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Simplify Exchange etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Simplify Exchange etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Simplify Exchange Lagged Returns
When evaluating Simplify Exchange's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Simplify Exchange etf have on its future price. Simplify Exchange autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Simplify Exchange autocorrelation shows the relationship between Simplify Exchange etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Simplify Exchange Traded.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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