Guardian Capital Group Stock Market Value

GCAAF Stock  USD 29.26  0.06  0.21%   
Guardian Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Guardian Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guardian Capital Group investors about its performance. Guardian Capital is trading at 29.26 as of the 26th of November 2024. This is a 0.21 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 29.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guardian Capital Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guardian Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Guardian Capital Correlation, Guardian Capital Volatility and Guardian Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guardian Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guardian Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guardian Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guardian Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guardian Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guardian Capital's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guardian Capital.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guardian Capital on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guardian Capital Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guardian Capital over 30 days. Guardian Capital is related to or competes with Invesco High, Blackrock Muniholdings, MFS Investment, and Federated Premier. Guardian Capital Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified financial services company in ... More

Guardian Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guardian Capital's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guardian Capital Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guardian Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guardian Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guardian Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guardian Capital historical prices to predict the future Guardian Capital's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.0529.2030.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.0329.1830.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.4628.6129.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.6429.0129.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guardian Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guardian Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guardian Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guardian Capital.

Guardian Capital Backtested Returns

Guardian Capital holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0791, which attests that the entity had a -0.0791% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Guardian Capital exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Guardian Capital's risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (3.25) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0298, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guardian Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guardian Capital is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Guardian Capital has a negative expected return of -0.0907%. Please make sure to check out Guardian Capital's mean deviation, jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to decide if Guardian Capital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

Guardian Capital Group has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guardian Capital time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guardian Capital price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Guardian Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Guardian Capital lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guardian Capital pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guardian Capital's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guardian Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guardian Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guardian Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guardian Capital pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guardian Capital pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guardian Capital pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guardian Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guardian Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guardian Capital pink sheet have on its future price. Guardian Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guardian Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guardian Capital pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guardian Capital Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Guardian Pink Sheet

Guardian Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guardian Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guardian with respect to the benefits of owning Guardian Capital security.