Guardian Capital Group Stock Price Prediction

GCAAF Stock  USD 29.20  0.35  1.21%   
As of 22nd of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Guardian Capital's share price is approaching 34. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Guardian Capital, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

34

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guardian Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Guardian Capital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Guardian Capital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guardian Capital Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Guardian Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guardian Capital Group from the perspective of Guardian Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guardian Capital to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guardian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Guardian Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 29.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Guardian Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.0229.1830.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.5328.6929.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.6028.9429.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guardian Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guardian Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guardian Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guardian Capital.

Guardian Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Guardian Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guardian Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Guardian Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Guardian Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Guardian Capital's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guardian Capital's historical news coverage. Guardian Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.04 and 30.36, respectively. We have considered Guardian Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
29.20
29.20
After-hype Price
30.36
Upside
Guardian Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guardian Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Guardian Capital Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guardian Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guardian Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guardian Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
1.16
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.20
29.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Guardian Capital Hype Timeline

Guardian Capital is currently traded for 29.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Guardian is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guardian Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.20. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.99. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guardian Capital last dividend was issued on the 10th of January 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 29th of May 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Guardian Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Guardian Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Guardian Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guardian Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Guardian Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guardian Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Guardian Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guardian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guardian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guardian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Guardian Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Guardian Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guardian Capital Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guardian Capital based on analysis of Guardian Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guardian Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guardian Capital's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Guardian Capital

The number of cover stories for Guardian Capital depends on current market conditions and Guardian Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guardian Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guardian Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Guardian Capital Short Properties

Guardian Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guardian Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guardian Capital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guardian Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guardian Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27 M

Complementary Tools for Guardian Pink Sheet analysis

When running Guardian Capital's price analysis, check to measure Guardian Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guardian Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Guardian Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guardian Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guardian Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guardian Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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