Guardian Canadian Bond Etf Market Value

GCBD Etf   18.59  0.10  0.54%   
Guardian Canadian's market value is the price at which a share of Guardian Canadian trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guardian Canadian Bond investors about its performance. Guardian Canadian is selling at 18.59 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 0.54 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 18.69.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guardian Canadian Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guardian Canadian over a given investment horizon. Check out Guardian Canadian Correlation, Guardian Canadian Volatility and Guardian Canadian Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guardian Canadian.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guardian Canadian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guardian Canadian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guardian Canadian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guardian Canadian 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guardian Canadian's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guardian Canadian.
0.00
12/15/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guardian Canadian on December 15, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guardian Canadian Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guardian Canadian over 720 days. Guardian Canadian is related to or competes with Guardian Directed, Guardian Canadian, Guardian Canadian, Guardian Ultra, Guardian, Guardian International, and Guardian Canadian. Guardian Canadian is entity of Canada. It is traded as Etf on TO exchange. More

Guardian Canadian Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guardian Canadian's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guardian Canadian Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guardian Canadian Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guardian Canadian's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guardian Canadian's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guardian Canadian historical prices to predict the future Guardian Canadian's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3318.6919.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2618.6218.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.5118.8719.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.2818.4518.62
Details

Guardian Canadian Bond Backtested Returns

As of now, Guardian Etf is very steady. Guardian Canadian Bond holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0437, which attests that the entity had a 0.0437% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Guardian Canadian Bond, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Guardian Canadian's risk adjusted performance of 0.0575, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4344 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0159%. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0537, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guardian Canadian's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guardian Canadian is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.66  

Very good reverse predictability

Guardian Canadian Bond has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guardian Canadian time series from 15th of December 2022 to 10th of December 2023 and 10th of December 2023 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guardian Canadian Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Guardian Canadian price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.66
Spearman Rank Test-0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

Guardian Canadian Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guardian Canadian etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guardian Canadian's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guardian Canadian returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guardian Canadian has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guardian Canadian regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guardian Canadian etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guardian Canadian etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guardian Canadian etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guardian Canadian Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guardian Canadian's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guardian Canadian etf have on its future price. Guardian Canadian autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guardian Canadian autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guardian Canadian etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guardian Canadian Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Guardian Canadian

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Guardian Canadian position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Guardian Canadian will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Guardian Etf

  0.97ZAG BMO Aggregate BondPairCorr
  0.97XBB iShares Canadian UniversePairCorr
  0.95ZCPB BMO Core PlusPairCorr
  0.97ZDB BMO Discount BondPairCorr
  0.95XGB iShares Canadian GovPairCorr

Moving against Guardian Etf

  0.31FHE First Trust IndxxPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Guardian Canadian could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Guardian Canadian when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Guardian Canadian - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Guardian Canadian Bond to buy it.
The correlation of Guardian Canadian is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Guardian Canadian moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Guardian Canadian Bond moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Guardian Canadian can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Guardian Etf

Guardian Canadian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guardian Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guardian with respect to the benefits of owning Guardian Canadian security.