Grupo Comercial Chedraui Stock Market Value

GCHEF Stock  USD 7.10  0.19  2.61%   
Grupo Comercial's market value is the price at which a share of Grupo Comercial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grupo Comercial Chedraui investors about its performance. Grupo Comercial is trading at 7.10 as of the 26th of December 2025. This is a 2.61 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 7.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grupo Comercial Chedraui and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grupo Comercial over a given investment horizon. Check out Grupo Comercial Correlation, Grupo Comercial Volatility and Grupo Comercial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grupo Comercial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Comercial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Comercial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Comercial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grupo Comercial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grupo Comercial's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grupo Comercial.
0.00
11/26/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grupo Comercial on November 26, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grupo Comercial Chedraui or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grupo Comercial over 30 days. Grupo Comercial is related to or competes with Bim Birlesik, Kesko Oyj, Empire Company, Toyo Suisan, George Weston, AAK AB, and J Sainsbury. Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. operates selfservice stores More

Grupo Comercial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grupo Comercial's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grupo Comercial Chedraui upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grupo Comercial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grupo Comercial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grupo Comercial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grupo Comercial historical prices to predict the future Grupo Comercial's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo Comercial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.337.109.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.236.008.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.857.6210.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.577.318.04
Details

Grupo Comercial Chedraui Backtested Returns

Grupo Comercial Chedraui holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0476, which attests that the entity had a -0.0476 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Grupo Comercial Chedraui exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grupo Comercial's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.64), standard deviation of 2.74, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Grupo Comercial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Grupo Comercial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Grupo Comercial Chedraui has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to check out Grupo Comercial's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if Grupo Comercial Chedraui performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.23  

Weak reverse predictability

Grupo Comercial Chedraui has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grupo Comercial time series from 26th of November 2025 to 11th of December 2025 and 11th of December 2025 to 26th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grupo Comercial Chedraui price movement. The serial correlation of -0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Grupo Comercial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.23
Spearman Rank Test-0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Grupo Comercial Chedraui lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grupo Comercial pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grupo Comercial's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grupo Comercial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grupo Comercial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grupo Comercial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grupo Comercial pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grupo Comercial pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grupo Comercial pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grupo Comercial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grupo Comercial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grupo Comercial pink sheet have on its future price. Grupo Comercial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grupo Comercial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grupo Comercial pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grupo Comercial Chedraui.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Grupo Pink Sheet

Grupo Comercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Comercial security.