Gamco International Growth Fund Market Value

GCIGX Fund  USD 19.10  0.20  1.06%   
Gamco International's market value is the price at which a share of Gamco International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gamco International Growth investors about its performance. Gamco International is trading at 19.10 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 1.06 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gamco International Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gamco International over a given investment horizon. Check out Gamco International Correlation, Gamco International Volatility and Gamco International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gamco International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gamco International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gamco International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gamco International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gamco International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gamco International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gamco International.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gamco International on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gamco International Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gamco International over 30 days. Gamco International is related to or competes with Strategic Allocation:, Touchstone Large, Pace Large, Goldman Sachs, Qs Us, T Rowe, and Old Westbury. The fund normally invests at least 65 percent of its total assets in equity securities of foreign issuers located in at ... More

Gamco International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gamco International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gamco International Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gamco International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gamco International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gamco International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gamco International historical prices to predict the future Gamco International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1119.1020.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3919.3820.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.8618.8519.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.4119.4520.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gamco International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gamco International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gamco International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gamco International.

Gamco International Backtested Returns

Gamco International holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.17, which attests that the entity had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gamco International exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gamco International's Standard Deviation of 0.9762, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (38.04) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0047, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Gamco International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gamco International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

Gamco International Growth has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gamco International time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gamco International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Gamco International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Gamco International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gamco International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gamco International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gamco International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gamco International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gamco International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gamco International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gamco International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gamco International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gamco International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gamco International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gamco International mutual fund have on its future price. Gamco International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gamco International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gamco International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gamco International Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gamco Mutual Fund

Gamco International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gamco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gamco with respect to the benefits of owning Gamco International security.
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