Galapagos Recebiveis (Brazil) Market Value

GCRI11 Fund  BRL 66.39  1.11  1.64%   
Galapagos Recebiveis' market value is the price at which a share of Galapagos Recebiveis trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios investors about its performance. Galapagos Recebiveis is trading at 66.39 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 1.64% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 67.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Galapagos Recebiveis over a given investment horizon. Check out Galapagos Recebiveis Correlation, Galapagos Recebiveis Volatility and Galapagos Recebiveis Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Galapagos Recebiveis.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Galapagos Recebiveis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Galapagos Recebiveis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Galapagos Recebiveis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Galapagos Recebiveis 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Galapagos Recebiveis' fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Galapagos Recebiveis.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Galapagos Recebiveis on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios or generate 0.0% return on investment in Galapagos Recebiveis over 30 days. Galapagos Recebiveis is related to or competes with Fras Le, Western Digital, BTG Pactual, Intuitive Surgical, Procter Gamble, Cable One, and Companhia Paranaense. More

Galapagos Recebiveis Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Galapagos Recebiveis' fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Galapagos Recebiveis Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Galapagos Recebiveis' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Galapagos Recebiveis' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Galapagos Recebiveis historical prices to predict the future Galapagos Recebiveis' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.2366.3967.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.8361.9973.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.5467.7068.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.8265.6766.53
Details

Galapagos Recebiveis Backtested Returns

Galapagos Recebiveis holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the entity had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Galapagos Recebiveis exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Galapagos Recebiveis' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.43, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Standard Deviation of 1.14 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0807, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Galapagos Recebiveis are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Galapagos Recebiveis is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.58  

Good reverse predictability

Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Galapagos Recebiveis time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Galapagos Recebiveis price movement. The serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Galapagos Recebiveis price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.58
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.87

Galapagos Recebiveis lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Galapagos Recebiveis fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Galapagos Recebiveis' fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Galapagos Recebiveis returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Galapagos Recebiveis has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Galapagos Recebiveis regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Galapagos Recebiveis fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Galapagos Recebiveis fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Galapagos Recebiveis fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Galapagos Recebiveis Lagged Returns

When evaluating Galapagos Recebiveis' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Galapagos Recebiveis fund have on its future price. Galapagos Recebiveis autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Galapagos Recebiveis autocorrelation shows the relationship between Galapagos Recebiveis fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Galapagos Fund

Galapagos Recebiveis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Galapagos Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Galapagos with respect to the benefits of owning Galapagos Recebiveis security.
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