Guardforce Ai Co Stock Market Value
| GFAI Stock | USD 1.10 0.01 0.92% |
| Symbol | Guardforce |
Guardforce AI Price To Book Ratio
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guardforce. If investors know Guardforce will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guardforce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.36) | Revenue Per Share 3.606 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets (0.16) | Return On Equity (0.73) |
The market value of Guardforce AI is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guardforce that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guardforce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guardforce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guardforce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guardforce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guardforce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guardforce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guardforce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Guardforce 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guardforce's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guardforce.
| 11/28/2023 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Guardforce on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guardforce AI Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guardforce over 360 days. Guardforce is related to or competes with Iveda Solutions, Bridger Aerospace, Supercom, LogicMark, ADT, Brinks, and Allegion PLC. Guardforce AI Co., Limited offers cash solutions and cash handling services in Thailand More
Guardforce Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guardforce's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guardforce AI Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.78 |
Guardforce Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guardforce's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guardforce's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guardforce historical prices to predict the future Guardforce's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.31) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.68) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.16) |
Guardforce AI Backtested Returns
Guardforce AI holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0988, which attests that the entity had a -0.0988% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Guardforce AI exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Guardforce's market risk adjusted performance of (0.15), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.25, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guardforce will likely underperform. At this point, Guardforce AI has a negative expected return of -0.38%. Please make sure to check out Guardforce's value at risk, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Guardforce AI performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.08 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Guardforce AI Co has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guardforce time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guardforce AI price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Guardforce price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.18 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.32 |
Guardforce AI lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Guardforce stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guardforce's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guardforce returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guardforce has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Guardforce regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guardforce stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guardforce stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guardforce stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Guardforce Lagged Returns
When evaluating Guardforce's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guardforce stock have on its future price. Guardforce autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guardforce autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guardforce stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guardforce AI Co.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Guardforce AI is a strong investment it is important to analyze Guardforce's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Guardforce's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Guardforce Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Guardforce Correlation, Guardforce Volatility and Guardforce Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guardforce. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Guardforce technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.