Guardforce Ai Co Stock Performance

GFAI Stock  USD 0.56  0.03  5.08%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.76, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guardforce will likely underperform. At this point, Guardforce AI has a negative expected return of -0.87%. Please make sure to check out Guardforce's coefficient of variation, value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Guardforce AI performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Guardforce AI Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow20.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities200.4 K

Guardforce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  105.00  in Guardforce AI Co on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (49.00) from holding Guardforce AI Co or give up 46.67% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guardforce AI Co is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.64% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 50% of stocks are less volatile than Guardforce, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Guardforce is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.61 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Guardforce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Guardforce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.56 90 days 0.56 
about 92.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guardforce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.34 (This Guardforce AI Co probability density function shows the probability of Guardforce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.76 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Guardforce will likely underperform. Additionally Guardforce AI Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Guardforce Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guardforce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guardforce AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.566.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.546.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guardforce. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guardforce's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guardforce's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guardforce AI.

Guardforce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guardforce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guardforce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guardforce AI Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guardforce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.76
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Guardforce Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guardforce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guardforce AI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guardforce AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guardforce AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Guardforce AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.97 M.
Guardforce AI Co currently holds about 7.73 M in cash with (3.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.

Guardforce Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guardforce Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guardforce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guardforce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.9 M

Guardforce Fundamentals Growth

Guardforce Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guardforce, and Guardforce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guardforce Stock performance.

About Guardforce Performance

By evaluating Guardforce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Guardforce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Guardforce has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guardforce has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Guardforce AI Co., Limited offers cash solutions and cash handling services in Thailand. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Singapore. Guardforce operates under Security Protection Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1781 people.

Things to note about Guardforce AI performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guardforce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guardforce AI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guardforce AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guardforce AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Guardforce AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.97 M.
Guardforce AI Co currently holds about 7.73 M in cash with (3.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.
Evaluating Guardforce's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guardforce's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Guardforce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guardforce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guardforce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guardforce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guardforce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guardforce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guardforce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guardforce's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guardforce's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Guardforce Stock analysis

When running Guardforce's price analysis, check to measure Guardforce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guardforce is operating at the current time. Most of Guardforce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guardforce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guardforce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guardforce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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