Guardforce Ai Co Stock Performance
| GFAI Stock | USD 0.60 0.02 2.44% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 3.29, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guardforce will likely underperform. At this point, Guardforce AI has a negative expected return of -0.61%. Please make sure to check out Guardforce's value at risk, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Guardforce AI performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Guardforce AI Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Last Split Factor 1:40 | Last Split Date 2023-02-10 |
1 | What catalysts could drive Guardforce AI Co. Limited stock higher - Product Launch Verified High Yield Trade Plans - newser.com | 10/30/2025 |
2 | Can Guardforce AI Co. Limited stock outperform in 2025 bull market - Trade Signal Summary Free Safe Capital Growth Stock Tips - newser.com | 11/06/2025 |
3 | Guardforce AI plans Thailand AI Agent rollout Wishnote nears 100 events - Stock Titan | 11/13/2025 |
4 | Guardforce AI Launches DVGO Beta 2.0 and Expands AI Operations in Thailand - MSN | 11/21/2025 |
5 | Guardforce AI Announces Receipt of Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Deficiency Notification Letter | 12/17/2025 |
6 | Guardforce AI Co., Limited Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 27 | 01/07/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 20.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 200.4 K |
Guardforce | Build AI portfolio with Guardforce Stock |
Guardforce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 97.00 in Guardforce AI Co on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (37.00) from holding Guardforce AI Co or give up 38.14% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guardforce AI Co is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.9504% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 53% of stocks are less volatile than Guardforce, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Guardforce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Guardforce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.60 | 90 days | 0.60 | about 88.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guardforce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.49 (This Guardforce AI Co probability density function shows the probability of Guardforce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.29 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Guardforce will likely underperform. Additionally Guardforce AI Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Guardforce Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guardforce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guardforce AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guardforce Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guardforce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guardforce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guardforce AI Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guardforce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Guardforce Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guardforce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guardforce AI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guardforce AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guardforce AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guardforce AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.97 M. | |
| Guardforce AI Co currently holds about 7.73 M in cash with (3.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14. | |
| Guardforce AI has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Guardforce AI Co., Limited Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 27 |
Guardforce Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guardforce Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guardforce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guardforce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.9 M |
Guardforce Fundamentals Growth
Guardforce Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guardforce, and Guardforce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guardforce Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.22 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.17) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.13) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (6.57 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 21.82 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.41 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.38 X | ||||
| Revenue | 36.35 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 5.97 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (3.14 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (5.84 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 7.73 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.14 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.61 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.77 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.06 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.57 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.33 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.45) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 14.03 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 44.69 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (64.2 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 24.58 M | ||||
About Guardforce Performance
By evaluating Guardforce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Guardforce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Guardforce has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guardforce has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 5.41 | 5.14 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.16) | (0.17) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.20) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.15) | (0.16) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.21) | (0.22) |
Things to note about Guardforce AI performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guardforce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guardforce AI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guardforce AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guardforce AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guardforce AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.97 M. | |
| Guardforce AI Co currently holds about 7.73 M in cash with (3.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14. | |
| Guardforce AI has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Guardforce AI Co., Limited Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 27 |
- Analyzing Guardforce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guardforce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Guardforce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Guardforce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guardforce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guardforce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guardforce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Guardforce Stock analysis
When running Guardforce's price analysis, check to measure Guardforce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guardforce is operating at the current time. Most of Guardforce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guardforce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guardforce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guardforce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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