Guaranty Financial Stock Market Value

Symbol

Guaranty

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guaranty Financial's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guaranty Financial.

Guaranty Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Guaranty Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guaranty Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guaranty Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guaranty Financial historical prices to predict the future Guaranty Financial's volatility.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guaranty Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Autocorrelation, which is Guaranty Financial pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guaranty Financial's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guaranty Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guaranty Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guaranty Financial pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guaranty Financial pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guaranty Financial pink sheet over time.

When evaluating Guaranty Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guaranty Financial pink sheet have on its future price. Guaranty Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guaranty Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guaranty Financial pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guaranty Financial.

Guaranty Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guaranty Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guaranty with respect to the benefits of owning Guaranty Financial security.