Conservative Allocation Fund Market Value

GFIZX Fund  USD 11.00  0.03  0.27%   
Conservative Allocation's market value is the price at which a share of Conservative Allocation trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Conservative Allocation Fund investors about its performance. Conservative Allocation is trading at 11.00 as of the 11th of January 2025; that is 0.27% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.03.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Conservative Allocation Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Conservative Allocation over a given investment horizon. Check out Conservative Allocation Correlation, Conservative Allocation Volatility and Conservative Allocation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Conservative Allocation.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Conservative Allocation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Conservative Allocation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Conservative Allocation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Conservative Allocation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Conservative Allocation's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Conservative Allocation.
0.00
12/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/11/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Conservative Allocation on December 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Conservative Allocation Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Conservative Allocation over 30 days. Conservative Allocation is related to or competes with Voya High, Strategic Advisers, Barings Us, Calvert High, Guggenheim High, Tiaa-cref High-yield, and Transamerica High. The fund, primarily through investments in the GuideStone Funds Select Funds , combines a greater percentage of fixed in... More

Conservative Allocation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Conservative Allocation's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Conservative Allocation Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Conservative Allocation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Conservative Allocation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Conservative Allocation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Conservative Allocation historical prices to predict the future Conservative Allocation's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4911.0011.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5711.0811.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5811.1011.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7111.2111.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Conservative Allocation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Conservative Allocation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Conservative Allocation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Conservative Allocation.

Conservative Allocation Backtested Returns

Conservative Allocation secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.17, which signifies that the fund had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Conservative Allocation Fund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Conservative Allocation's Standard Deviation of 0.4972, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Mean Deviation of 0.2258 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0175, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Conservative Allocation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Conservative Allocation is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.13  

Insignificant predictability

Conservative Allocation Fund has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Conservative Allocation time series from 12th of December 2024 to 27th of December 2024 and 27th of December 2024 to 11th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Conservative Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Conservative Allocation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.13
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Conservative Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Conservative Allocation mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Conservative Allocation's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Conservative Allocation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Conservative Allocation has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Conservative Allocation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Conservative Allocation mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Conservative Allocation mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Conservative Allocation mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Conservative Allocation Lagged Returns

When evaluating Conservative Allocation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Conservative Allocation mutual fund have on its future price. Conservative Allocation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Conservative Allocation autocorrelation shows the relationship between Conservative Allocation mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Conservative Allocation Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Conservative Mutual Fund

Conservative Allocation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conservative Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conservative with respect to the benefits of owning Conservative Allocation security.
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