Gabelli Global Financial Fund Market Value

GFSIX Fund  USD 16.34  0.05  0.31%   
Gabelli Global's market value is the price at which a share of Gabelli Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gabelli Global Financial investors about its performance. Gabelli Global is trading at 16.34 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.31 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 16.29.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gabelli Global Financial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gabelli Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Gabelli Global Correlation, Gabelli Global Volatility and Gabelli Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gabelli Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gabelli Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gabelli Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gabelli Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gabelli Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gabelli Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gabelli Global.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gabelli Global on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gabelli Global Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gabelli Global over 720 days. Gabelli Global is related to or competes with Towpath Technology, Allianzgi Technology, Blackrock Science, Fidelity Advisor, Technology Ultrasector, and Columbia Global. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of the value of its net assets, plus any borrowings... More

Gabelli Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gabelli Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gabelli Global Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gabelli Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gabelli Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gabelli Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gabelli Global historical prices to predict the future Gabelli Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3416.3417.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1916.1917.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2216.2117.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.2316.5116.78
Details

Gabelli Global Financial Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Gabelli Mutual Fund to be very steady. Gabelli Global Financial holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1, which attests that the entity had a 0.1% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Gabelli Global Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Gabelli Global's market risk adjusted performance of 0.1206, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0929 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.97, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Gabelli Global returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Gabelli Global is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Gabelli Global Financial has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gabelli Global time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gabelli Global Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Gabelli Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.57

Gabelli Global Financial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gabelli Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gabelli Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gabelli Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gabelli Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gabelli Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gabelli Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gabelli Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gabelli Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gabelli Global mutual fund have on its future price. Gabelli Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gabelli Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gabelli Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gabelli Global Financial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund

Gabelli Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Global security.
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