Aggressive Allocation Fund Market Value

GGBZX Fund  USD 13.70  0.08  0.59%   
Aggressive Allocation's market value is the price at which a share of Aggressive Allocation trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aggressive Allocation Fund investors about its performance. Aggressive Allocation is trading at 13.70 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.59% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.62.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aggressive Allocation Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aggressive Allocation over a given investment horizon. Check out Aggressive Allocation Correlation, Aggressive Allocation Volatility and Aggressive Allocation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aggressive Allocation.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aggressive Allocation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aggressive Allocation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aggressive Allocation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aggressive Allocation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aggressive Allocation's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aggressive Allocation.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aggressive Allocation on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aggressive Allocation Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aggressive Allocation over 30 days. Aggressive Allocation is related to or competes with John Hancock, Davis Financial, Prudential Jennison, Mesirow Financial, Davis Financial, Vanguard Financials, and Mesirow Financial. The fund, primarily through investments in the GuideStone Funds Select Funds, combines a greater percentage of U.S More

Aggressive Allocation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aggressive Allocation's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aggressive Allocation Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aggressive Allocation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aggressive Allocation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aggressive Allocation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aggressive Allocation historical prices to predict the future Aggressive Allocation's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9513.6214.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8413.5114.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aggressive Allocation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aggressive Allocation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aggressive Allocation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aggressive Allocation.

Aggressive Allocation Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aggressive Mutual Fund to be very steady. Aggressive Allocation secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the fund had a 0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aggressive Allocation Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aggressive Allocation's risk adjusted performance of 0.059, and Mean Deviation of 0.5415 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0953%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.7, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aggressive Allocation's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aggressive Allocation is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.74  

Good predictability

Aggressive Allocation Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aggressive Allocation time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aggressive Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Aggressive Allocation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.74
Spearman Rank Test0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Aggressive Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aggressive Allocation mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aggressive Allocation's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aggressive Allocation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aggressive Allocation has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aggressive Allocation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aggressive Allocation mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aggressive Allocation mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aggressive Allocation mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aggressive Allocation Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aggressive Allocation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aggressive Allocation mutual fund have on its future price. Aggressive Allocation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aggressive Allocation autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aggressive Allocation mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aggressive Allocation Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aggressive Mutual Fund

Aggressive Allocation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aggressive Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aggressive with respect to the benefits of owning Aggressive Allocation security.
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