Guardian International Equity Etf Market Value

GIES Etf   22.15  0.33  1.51%   
Guardian International's market value is the price at which a share of Guardian International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guardian International Equity investors about its performance. Guardian International is selling at 22.15 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 1.51 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 21.82.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guardian International Equity and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guardian International over a given investment horizon. Check out Guardian International Correlation, Guardian International Volatility and Guardian International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guardian International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guardian International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guardian International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guardian International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guardian International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guardian International's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guardian International.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guardian International on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guardian International Equity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guardian International over 720 days. Guardian International is related to or competes with Fidelity Canadian, Fidelity High, Fidelity High, and Fidelity Dividend. Guardian International is entity of Canada More

Guardian International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guardian International's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guardian International Equity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guardian International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guardian International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guardian International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guardian International historical prices to predict the future Guardian International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3922.1522.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.4722.2322.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.4822.2322.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2722.5023.72
Details

Guardian International Backtested Returns

Guardian International holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0496, which attests that the entity had a -0.0496% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Guardian International exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Guardian International's risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.47) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0962, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guardian International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guardian International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.24  

Weak predictability

Guardian International Equity has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guardian International time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guardian International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Guardian International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Guardian International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guardian International etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guardian International's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guardian International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guardian International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guardian International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guardian International etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guardian International etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guardian International etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guardian International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guardian International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guardian International etf have on its future price. Guardian International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guardian International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guardian International etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guardian International Equity.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Guardian International

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Guardian International position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Guardian International will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Guardian Etf

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Moving against Guardian Etf

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Guardian International could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Guardian International when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Guardian International - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Guardian International Equity to buy it.
The correlation of Guardian International is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Guardian International moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Guardian International moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Guardian International can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Guardian Etf

Guardian International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guardian Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guardian with respect to the benefits of owning Guardian International security.