Medium Duration Bond Institutional Fund Market Value

GMDYX Fund  USD 12.73  0.02  0.16%   
Medium-duration Bond's market value is the price at which a share of Medium-duration Bond trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Medium Duration Bond Institutional investors about its performance. Medium-duration Bond is trading at 12.73 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.16 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Medium Duration Bond Institutional and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Medium-duration Bond over a given investment horizon. Check out Medium-duration Bond Correlation, Medium-duration Bond Volatility and Medium-duration Bond Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Medium-duration Bond.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Medium-duration Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Medium-duration Bond is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Medium-duration Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Medium-duration Bond 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Medium-duration Bond's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Medium-duration Bond.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Medium-duration Bond on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Medium Duration Bond Institutional or generate 0.0% return on investment in Medium-duration Bond over 30 days. Medium-duration Bond is related to or competes with Value Equity, Growth Equity, Equity Index, and Low Duration. The fund invests mainly in investment grade fixed-income instruments More

Medium-duration Bond Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Medium-duration Bond's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Medium Duration Bond Institutional upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Medium-duration Bond Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Medium-duration Bond's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Medium-duration Bond's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Medium-duration Bond historical prices to predict the future Medium-duration Bond's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Medium-duration Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4312.7313.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4712.7713.07
Details

Medium Duration Bond Backtested Returns

Medium Duration Bond has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0603, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0603% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Medium-duration Bond exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Medium-duration Bond's Mean Deviation of 0.2131, standard deviation of 0.2938, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.014, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Medium-duration Bond are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Medium-duration Bond is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Medium Duration Bond Institutional has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Medium-duration Bond time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Medium Duration Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Medium-duration Bond price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Medium Duration Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Medium-duration Bond mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Medium-duration Bond's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Medium-duration Bond returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Medium-duration Bond has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Medium-duration Bond regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Medium-duration Bond mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Medium-duration Bond mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Medium-duration Bond mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Medium-duration Bond Lagged Returns

When evaluating Medium-duration Bond's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Medium-duration Bond mutual fund have on its future price. Medium-duration Bond autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Medium-duration Bond autocorrelation shows the relationship between Medium-duration Bond mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Medium Duration Bond Institutional.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Medium-duration Mutual Fund

Medium-duration Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Medium-duration Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Medium-duration with respect to the benefits of owning Medium-duration Bond security.
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