Grail Llc Stock Market Value
| GRAL Stock | 95.75 6.88 7.74% |
| Symbol | GRAIL |
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GRAIL LLC. If investors know GRAIL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GRAIL LLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of GRAIL LLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GRAIL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GRAIL LLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GRAIL LLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GRAIL LLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GRAIL LLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GRAIL LLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GRAIL LLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GRAIL LLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
GRAIL LLC 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GRAIL LLC's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GRAIL LLC.
| 11/06/2025 |
| 01/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in GRAIL LLC on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GRAIL LLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in GRAIL LLC over 60 days. GRAIL LLC is related to or competes with Dyne Therapeutics, Ultragenyx, Apogee Therapeutics, Xenon Pharmaceuticals, Centessa Pharmaceuticals, Envista Holdings, and Ascentage Pharma. More
GRAIL LLC Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GRAIL LLC's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GRAIL LLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.84 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1232 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.06 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.42 |
GRAIL LLC Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GRAIL LLC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GRAIL LLC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GRAIL LLC historical prices to predict the future GRAIL LLC's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1076 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.8512 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2124 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1605 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (33.97) |
GRAIL LLC Backtested Returns
GRAIL LLC appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. GRAIL LLC retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing GRAIL LLC's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.86% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize GRAIL LLC's Semi Deviation of 4.2, coefficient of variation of 732.9, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (33.96) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, GRAIL LLC holds a performance score of 10. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.025, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning GRAIL LLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, GRAIL LLC is likely to outperform the market. Please check GRAIL LLC's value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether GRAIL LLC's current price history will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.34 |
Poor reverse predictability
GRAIL LLC has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GRAIL LLC time series from 6th of November 2025 to 6th of December 2025 and 6th of December 2025 to 5th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GRAIL LLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current GRAIL LLC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 16.33 |
GRAIL LLC lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is GRAIL LLC stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GRAIL LLC's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GRAIL LLC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GRAIL LLC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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GRAIL LLC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GRAIL LLC stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GRAIL LLC stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GRAIL LLC stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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GRAIL LLC Lagged Returns
When evaluating GRAIL LLC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GRAIL LLC stock have on its future price. GRAIL LLC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GRAIL LLC autocorrelation shows the relationship between GRAIL LLC stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GRAIL LLC.
Regressed Prices |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out GRAIL LLC Correlation, GRAIL LLC Volatility and GRAIL LLC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on GRAIL LLC. For more information on how to buy GRAIL Stock please use our How to buy in GRAIL Stock guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
GRAIL LLC technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.