Gray Television Stock Market Value

GTN Stock  USD 4.36  0.15  3.56%   
Gray Television's market value is the price at which a share of Gray Television trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gray Television investors about its performance. Gray Television is selling at 4.36 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 3.56 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gray Television and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gray Television over a given investment horizon. Check out Gray Television Correlation, Gray Television Volatility and Gray Television Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gray Television.
To learn how to invest in Gray Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gray Television guide.
Symbol

Gray Television Price To Book Ratio

Is Broadcasting space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gray Television. If investors know Gray will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gray Television listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
10.164
Dividend Share
0.32
Earnings Share
1.5
Revenue Per Share
36.743
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.183
The market value of Gray Television is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gray that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gray Television's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gray Television's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gray Television's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gray Television's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gray Television's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gray Television is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gray Television's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gray Television 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gray Television's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gray Television.
0.00
05/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gray Television on May 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gray Television or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gray Television over 180 days. Gray Television is related to or competes with E W, Saga Communications, IHeartMedia, Cumulus Media, and Beasley Broadcast. Gray Television, Inc., a television broadcasting company, owns andor operates television stations and digital assets in ... More

Gray Television Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gray Television's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gray Television upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gray Television Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gray Television's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gray Television's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gray Television historical prices to predict the future Gray Television's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gray Television's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.224.308.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.246.6711.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.948.37
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.0613.2514.71
Details

Gray Television Backtested Returns

Gray Television holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0348, which attests that the entity had a -0.0348% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Gray Television exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gray Television's market risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.46, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Gray Television will likely underperform. At this point, Gray Television has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to check out Gray Television's potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if Gray Television performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.31  

Below average predictability

Gray Television has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gray Television time series from 26th of May 2024 to 24th of August 2024 and 24th of August 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gray Television price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Gray Television price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.24

Gray Television lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gray Television stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gray Television's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gray Television returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gray Television has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gray Television regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gray Television stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gray Television stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gray Television stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gray Television Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gray Television's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gray Television stock have on its future price. Gray Television autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gray Television autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gray Television stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gray Television.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

When determining whether Gray Television offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gray Television's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gray Television Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gray Television Stock:
Check out Gray Television Correlation, Gray Television Volatility and Gray Television Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gray Television.
To learn how to invest in Gray Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gray Television guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Gray Television technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Gray Television technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Gray Television trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...