Gabelli Utilities Fund Market Value

GUXPX Fund   6.19  0.09  1.48%   
Gabelli Utilities' market value is the price at which a share of Gabelli Utilities trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gabelli Utilities investors about its performance. Gabelli Utilities is trading at 6.19 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 1.48 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gabelli Utilities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gabelli Utilities over a given investment horizon. Check out Gabelli Utilities Correlation, Gabelli Utilities Volatility and Gabelli Utilities Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gabelli Utilities.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gabelli Utilities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gabelli Utilities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gabelli Utilities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gabelli Utilities 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gabelli Utilities' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gabelli Utilities.
0.00
11/29/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gabelli Utilities on November 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gabelli Utilities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gabelli Utilities over 360 days. Gabelli Utilities is related to or competes with Siit Emerging, Ep Emerging, Shelton Emerging, Dws Emerging, Artisan Emerging, and Angel Oak. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of domestic or foreign companies that are involved ... More

Gabelli Utilities Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gabelli Utilities' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gabelli Utilities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gabelli Utilities Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gabelli Utilities' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gabelli Utilities' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gabelli Utilities historical prices to predict the future Gabelli Utilities' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.436.196.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.396.156.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.506.267.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.086.166.24
Details

Gabelli Utilities Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Gabelli Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Gabelli Utilities holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0947, which attests that the entity had a 0.0947% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Gabelli Utilities, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Gabelli Utilities' risk adjusted performance of 0.0872, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.6985 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0686%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Gabelli Utilities' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gabelli Utilities is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Gabelli Utilities has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gabelli Utilities time series from 29th of November 2023 to 27th of May 2024 and 27th of May 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gabelli Utilities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Gabelli Utilities price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Gabelli Utilities lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gabelli Utilities mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gabelli Utilities' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gabelli Utilities returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gabelli Utilities has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Utilities regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gabelli Utilities mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gabelli Utilities mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gabelli Utilities mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Utilities Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gabelli Utilities' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gabelli Utilities mutual fund have on its future price. Gabelli Utilities autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gabelli Utilities autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gabelli Utilities mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gabelli Utilities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund

Gabelli Utilities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Utilities security.
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