Guardian Exploration Stock Market Value
| GXUSF Stock | USD 0.18 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Guardian |
Guardian Exploration 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guardian Exploration's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guardian Exploration.
| 06/09/2024 |
| 12/31/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Guardian Exploration on June 9, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guardian Exploration or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guardian Exploration over 570 days. Guardian Exploration is related to or competes with Eco Oil, Desert Mountain, Altima Resources, Purepoint Uranium, NXT Energy, and Wilton Resources. Guardian Exploration Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil, natural gas, and mineral prop... More
Guardian Exploration Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guardian Exploration's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guardian Exploration upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.1402 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.33 |
Guardian Exploration Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guardian Exploration's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guardian Exploration's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guardian Exploration historical prices to predict the future Guardian Exploration's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1204 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.718 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2305 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.49) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guardian Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guardian Exploration Backtested Returns
Guardian Exploration appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Guardian Exploration holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By evaluating Guardian Exploration's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.73% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Guardian Exploration's risk adjusted performance of 0.1204, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.48) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Guardian Exploration holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.46, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guardian Exploration are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guardian Exploration is likely to outperform the market. Please check Guardian Exploration's risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Guardian Exploration's current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.11 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Guardian Exploration has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guardian Exploration time series from 9th of June 2024 to 21st of March 2025 and 21st of March 2025 to 31st of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guardian Exploration price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Guardian Exploration price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Guardian Exploration lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Guardian Exploration otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guardian Exploration's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guardian Exploration returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guardian Exploration has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Guardian Exploration regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guardian Exploration otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guardian Exploration otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guardian Exploration otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Guardian Exploration Lagged Returns
When evaluating Guardian Exploration's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guardian Exploration otc stock have on its future price. Guardian Exploration autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guardian Exploration autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guardian Exploration otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guardian Exploration.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Guardian OTC Stock
Guardian Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guardian OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guardian with respect to the benefits of owning Guardian Exploration security.