HAGA SA (Brazil) Market Value

HAGA4 Preferred Stock  BRL 1.32  0.02  1.54%   
HAGA SA's market value is the price at which a share of HAGA SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HAGA SA Indstria investors about its performance. HAGA SA is selling for under 1.32 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 1.54% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 1.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HAGA SA Indstria and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HAGA SA over a given investment horizon. Check out HAGA SA Correlation, HAGA SA Volatility and HAGA SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HAGA SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HAGA SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HAGA SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HAGA SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HAGA SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HAGA SA's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HAGA SA.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HAGA SA on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HAGA SA Indstria or generate 0.0% return on investment in HAGA SA over 30 days. HAGA SA is related to or competes with Lupatech, Recrusul, Bombril SA, and Hotis Othon. HAGA SA Indstria e Comrcio primarily manufactures and sells locks, hinges, and hardware products for civil construction ... More

HAGA SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HAGA SA's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HAGA SA Indstria upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HAGA SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HAGA SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HAGA SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HAGA SA historical prices to predict the future HAGA SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.322.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.082.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.322.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.281.311.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HAGA SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HAGA SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HAGA SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HAGA SA Indstria.

HAGA SA Indstria Backtested Returns

Currently, HAGA SA Indstria is risky. HAGA SA Indstria holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for HAGA SA Indstria, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out HAGA SA's downside deviation of 1.4, and Semi Deviation of 0.8668 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. HAGA SA has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.23, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning HAGA SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, HAGA SA is likely to outperform the market. HAGA SA Indstria at this time retains a risk of 1.43%. Please check out HAGA SA standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if HAGA SA will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

HAGA SA Indstria has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HAGA SA time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HAGA SA Indstria price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current HAGA SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

HAGA SA Indstria lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HAGA SA preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HAGA SA's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HAGA SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HAGA SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HAGA SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HAGA SA preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HAGA SA preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HAGA SA preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HAGA SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating HAGA SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HAGA SA preferred stock have on its future price. HAGA SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HAGA SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between HAGA SA preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HAGA SA Indstria.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for HAGA Preferred Stock Analysis

When running HAGA SA's price analysis, check to measure HAGA SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HAGA SA is operating at the current time. Most of HAGA SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HAGA SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HAGA SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HAGA SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.