Hcm Dividend Sector Fund Market Value

HCMNX Fund  USD 22.58  0.14  0.62%   
Hcm Dividend's market value is the price at which a share of Hcm Dividend trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hcm Dividend Sector investors about its performance. Hcm Dividend is trading at 22.58 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.62 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 22.72.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hcm Dividend Sector and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hcm Dividend over a given investment horizon. Check out Hcm Dividend Correlation, Hcm Dividend Volatility and Hcm Dividend Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hcm Dividend.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hcm Dividend's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hcm Dividend is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hcm Dividend's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hcm Dividend 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hcm Dividend's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hcm Dividend.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hcm Dividend on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hcm Dividend Sector or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hcm Dividend over 720 days. Hcm Dividend is related to or competes with Hcm Dividend, Hcm Tactical, Hcm Dynamic, Hcm Dividend, Hcm Tactical, Hcm Income, and Hcm Dynamic. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective through investments in dividend paying equity securities of companies... More

Hcm Dividend Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hcm Dividend's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hcm Dividend Sector upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hcm Dividend Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hcm Dividend's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hcm Dividend's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hcm Dividend historical prices to predict the future Hcm Dividend's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4822.5823.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1522.2523.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.4622.5623.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.3822.5722.77
Details

Hcm Dividend Sector Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Hcm Mutual Fund to be very steady. Hcm Dividend Sector holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.15, which attests that the entity had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Hcm Dividend Sector, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Hcm Dividend's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1363, downside deviation of 1.06, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1192 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.23, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hcm Dividend will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.53  

Modest predictability

Hcm Dividend Sector has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hcm Dividend time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hcm Dividend Sector price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Hcm Dividend price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.53
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.04

Hcm Dividend Sector lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hcm Dividend mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hcm Dividend's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hcm Dividend returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hcm Dividend has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hcm Dividend regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hcm Dividend mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hcm Dividend mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hcm Dividend mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hcm Dividend Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hcm Dividend's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hcm Dividend mutual fund have on its future price. Hcm Dividend autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hcm Dividend autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hcm Dividend mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hcm Dividend Sector.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hcm Mutual Fund

Hcm Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hcm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hcm with respect to the benefits of owning Hcm Dividend security.
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