Hexa Tradex (India) Market Value

HEXATRADEX   271.85  6.05  2.18%   
Hexa Tradex's market value is the price at which a share of Hexa Tradex trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hexa Tradex Limited investors about its performance. Hexa Tradex is trading at 271.85 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 2.18 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 277.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hexa Tradex Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hexa Tradex over a given investment horizon. Check out Hexa Tradex Correlation, Hexa Tradex Volatility and Hexa Tradex Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hexa Tradex.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexa Tradex's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hexa Tradex is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hexa Tradex's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hexa Tradex 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hexa Tradex's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hexa Tradex.
0.00
09/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hexa Tradex on September 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hexa Tradex Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hexa Tradex over 60 days. Hexa Tradex is related to or competes with MRF, Honeywell Automation, Divis Laboratories, Indo Borax, Kingfa Science, Alkali Metals, and Gravita India. Hexa Tradex is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Hexa Tradex Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hexa Tradex's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hexa Tradex Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hexa Tradex Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hexa Tradex's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hexa Tradex's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hexa Tradex historical prices to predict the future Hexa Tradex's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hexa Tradex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
268.35271.85275.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
240.73244.23299.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
273.61277.11280.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
253.77276.98300.18
Details

Hexa Tradex Limited Backtested Returns

At this point, Hexa Tradex is very steady. Hexa Tradex Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0081, which attests that the entity had a 0.0081% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Hexa Tradex Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Hexa Tradex's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.94), downside deviation of 3.44, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0521 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0285%. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0996, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hexa Tradex are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hexa Tradex is likely to outperform the market. Hexa Tradex Limited right now retains a risk of 3.5%. Please check out Hexa Tradex downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Hexa Tradex will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.7  

Very good reverse predictability

Hexa Tradex Limited has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hexa Tradex time series from 23rd of September 2024 to 23rd of October 2024 and 23rd of October 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hexa Tradex Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Hexa Tradex price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.7
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance120.24

Hexa Tradex Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hexa Tradex stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hexa Tradex's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hexa Tradex returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hexa Tradex has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hexa Tradex regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hexa Tradex stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hexa Tradex stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hexa Tradex stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hexa Tradex Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hexa Tradex's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hexa Tradex stock have on its future price. Hexa Tradex autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hexa Tradex autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hexa Tradex stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hexa Tradex Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hexa Stock

Hexa Tradex financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hexa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hexa with respect to the benefits of owning Hexa Tradex security.