Virtus Low Duration Fund Market Value

HIBIX Fund  USD 10.60  0.01  0.09%   
Virtus Low's market value is the price at which a share of Virtus Low trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Virtus Low Duration investors about its performance. Virtus Low is trading at 10.60 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.09 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Virtus Low Duration and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Virtus Low over a given investment horizon. Check out Virtus Low Correlation, Virtus Low Volatility and Virtus Low Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Virtus Low.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Virtus Low's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virtus Low is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virtus Low's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Virtus Low 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Virtus Low's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Virtus Low.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Virtus Low on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Virtus Low Duration or generate 0.0% return on investment in Virtus Low over 720 days. Virtus Low is related to or competes with John Hancock, Lord Abbett, Franklin Adjustable, Inverse Government, and Us Government. The fund seeks current income with an emphasis on maintaining low volatility and overall short duration by investing pri... More

Virtus Low Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Virtus Low's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Virtus Low Duration upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Virtus Low Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Virtus Low's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Virtus Low's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Virtus Low historical prices to predict the future Virtus Low's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4810.6010.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.639.7511.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4710.5910.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5710.6010.62
Details

Virtus Low Duration Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Virtus Mutual Fund to be very steady. Virtus Low Duration owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1, which indicates the fund had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Virtus Low Duration, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Virtus Low's Downside Deviation of 0.1352, risk adjusted performance of 0.0291, and Standard Deviation of 0.1194 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0119%. The entity has a beta of -0.0098, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Virtus Low are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Virtus Low is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.91  

Excellent predictability

Virtus Low Duration has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Virtus Low time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Virtus Low Duration price movement. The serial correlation of 0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Virtus Low price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.91
Spearman Rank Test0.93
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Virtus Low Duration lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Virtus Low mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Virtus Low's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Virtus Low returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Virtus Low has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Virtus Low regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Virtus Low mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Virtus Low mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Virtus Low mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Virtus Low Lagged Returns

When evaluating Virtus Low's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Virtus Low mutual fund have on its future price. Virtus Low autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Virtus Low autocorrelation shows the relationship between Virtus Low mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Virtus Low Duration.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Virtus Mutual Fund

Virtus Low financial ratios help investors to determine whether Virtus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Virtus with respect to the benefits of owning Virtus Low security.
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