Harbor Vertible Securities Fund Market Value

HICSX Fund  USD 12.01  0.06  0.50%   
Harbor Convertible's market value is the price at which a share of Harbor Convertible trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Harbor Vertible Securities investors about its performance. Harbor Convertible is trading at 12.01 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.50 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Harbor Vertible Securities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Harbor Convertible over a given investment horizon. Check out Harbor Convertible Correlation, Harbor Convertible Volatility and Harbor Convertible Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Harbor Convertible.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Harbor Convertible's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harbor Convertible is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harbor Convertible's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Harbor Convertible 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Harbor Convertible's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Harbor Convertible.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Harbor Convertible on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Harbor Vertible Securities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Harbor Convertible over 30 days. Harbor Convertible is related to or competes with Putnam Convertible, Columbia Convertible, Lord Abbett, Franklin Convertible, and Mainstay Vertible. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment p... More

Harbor Convertible Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Harbor Convertible's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Harbor Vertible Securities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Harbor Convertible Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harbor Convertible's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Harbor Convertible's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Harbor Convertible historical prices to predict the future Harbor Convertible's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harbor Convertible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5312.0112.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3611.8412.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.5512.0412.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4711.7512.02
Details

Harbor Vertible Secu Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Harbor Mutual Fund to be very steady. Harbor Vertible Secu holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.34, which attests that the entity had a 0.34% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Harbor Vertible Secu, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Harbor Convertible's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3185, risk adjusted performance of 0.2368, and Coefficient Of Variation of 314.83 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.46, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Harbor Convertible's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Harbor Convertible is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.97  

Excellent predictability

Harbor Vertible Securities has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Harbor Convertible time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Harbor Vertible Secu price movement. The serial correlation of 0.97 indicates that 97.0% of current Harbor Convertible price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.97
Spearman Rank Test0.99
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Harbor Vertible Secu lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Harbor Convertible mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Harbor Convertible's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Harbor Convertible returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Harbor Convertible has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Harbor Convertible regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Harbor Convertible mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Harbor Convertible mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Harbor Convertible mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Harbor Convertible Lagged Returns

When evaluating Harbor Convertible's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Harbor Convertible mutual fund have on its future price. Harbor Convertible autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Harbor Convertible autocorrelation shows the relationship between Harbor Convertible mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Harbor Vertible Securities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Harbor Mutual Fund

Harbor Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harbor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harbor with respect to the benefits of owning Harbor Convertible security.
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