Healthlead Public (Thailand) Market Value

HL Stock   8.75  0.30  3.55%   
Healthlead Public's market value is the price at which a share of Healthlead Public trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Healthlead Public investors about its performance. Healthlead Public is selling for 8.75 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 3.55 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 8.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Healthlead Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Healthlead Public over a given investment horizon. Check out Healthlead Public Correlation, Healthlead Public Volatility and Healthlead Public Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Healthlead Public.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthlead Public's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthlead Public is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthlead Public's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Healthlead Public 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Healthlead Public's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Healthlead Public.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Healthlead Public on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Healthlead Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Healthlead Public over 30 days. Healthlead Public is related to or competes with Dohome Public, Humanica Public, Jay Mart, and Siam Global. More

Healthlead Public Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Healthlead Public's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Healthlead Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Healthlead Public Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Healthlead Public's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Healthlead Public's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Healthlead Public historical prices to predict the future Healthlead Public's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.868.7510.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.737.629.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.918.8110.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.698.118.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Healthlead Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Healthlead Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Healthlead Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Healthlead Public.

Healthlead Public Backtested Returns

Healthlead Public appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Healthlead Public holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Healthlead Public, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Healthlead Public's risk adjusted performance of 0.135, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.14) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Healthlead Public holds a performance score of 9. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.27, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Healthlead Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Healthlead Public is likely to outperform the market. Please check Healthlead Public's semi deviation, sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Healthlead Public's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.9  

Excellent reverse predictability

Healthlead Public has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Healthlead Public time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Healthlead Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current Healthlead Public price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.9
Spearman Rank Test-0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Healthlead Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Healthlead Public stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Healthlead Public's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Healthlead Public returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Healthlead Public has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Healthlead Public regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Healthlead Public stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Healthlead Public stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Healthlead Public stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Healthlead Public Lagged Returns

When evaluating Healthlead Public's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Healthlead Public stock have on its future price. Healthlead Public autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Healthlead Public autocorrelation shows the relationship between Healthlead Public stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Healthlead Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Healthlead Stock

Healthlead Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Healthlead Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Healthlead with respect to the benefits of owning Healthlead Public security.