HMT (India) Market Value

HMT Stock   61.94  1.28  2.02%   
HMT's market value is the price at which a share of HMT trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HMT Limited investors about its performance. HMT is trading at 61.94 as of the 24th of November 2024, a 2.02 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 60.56.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HMT Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HMT over a given investment horizon. Check out HMT Correlation, HMT Volatility and HMT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HMT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HMT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HMT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HMT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HMT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HMT's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HMT.
0.00
09/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HMT on September 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HMT Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in HMT over 60 days. HMT is related to or competes with Himadri Speciality, Transport, Hilton Metal, Dharani SugarsChemicals, Tata Chemicals, Gokul Refoils, and Vishnu Chemicals. HMT is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

HMT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HMT's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HMT Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HMT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HMT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HMT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HMT historical prices to predict the future HMT's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.0860.5362.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.7158.1668.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.6958.1560.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.1662.3763.57
Details

HMT Limited Backtested Returns

HMT Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.22, which attests that the entity had a -0.22% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. HMT Limited exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out HMT's market risk adjusted performance of (7.48), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0696, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, HMT's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HMT is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, HMT Limited has a negative expected return of -0.53%. Please make sure to check out HMT's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if HMT Limited performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.63  

Good predictability

HMT Limited has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HMT time series from 25th of September 2024 to 25th of October 2024 and 25th of October 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HMT Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current HMT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance9.59

HMT Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HMT stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HMT's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HMT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HMT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HMT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HMT stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HMT stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HMT stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HMT Lagged Returns

When evaluating HMT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HMT stock have on its future price. HMT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HMT autocorrelation shows the relationship between HMT stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HMT Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in HMT Stock

HMT financial ratios help investors to determine whether HMT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HMT with respect to the benefits of owning HMT security.