Heartland Value Plus Fund Market Value

HNVIX Fund  USD 40.27  0.03  0.07%   
Heartland Value's market value is the price at which a share of Heartland Value trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Heartland Value Plus investors about its performance. Heartland Value is trading at 40.27 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.07 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 40.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Heartland Value Plus and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Heartland Value over a given investment horizon. Check out Heartland Value Correlation, Heartland Value Volatility and Heartland Value Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Heartland Value.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Heartland Value's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heartland Value is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heartland Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Heartland Value 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Heartland Value's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Heartland Value.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Heartland Value on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Heartland Value Plus or generate 0.0% return on investment in Heartland Value over 30 days. Heartland Value is related to or competes with Vanguard Small-cap, Vanguard Small-cap, and American Beacon. The fund invests primarily in a concentrated number of small-capitalization common stocks selected on a value basis More

Heartland Value Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Heartland Value's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Heartland Value Plus upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Heartland Value Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Heartland Value's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Heartland Value's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Heartland Value historical prices to predict the future Heartland Value's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.0440.2741.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.4439.6740.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.6639.8941.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.2139.4840.76
Details

Heartland Value Plus Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Heartland Mutual Fund to be very steady. Heartland Value Plus holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.11, which attests that the entity had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Heartland Value Plus, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Heartland Value's risk adjusted performance of 0.0874, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0987 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.38, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Heartland Value will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.80  

Very good predictability

Heartland Value Plus has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Heartland Value time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Heartland Value Plus price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Heartland Value price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.8
Spearman Rank Test0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.44

Heartland Value Plus lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Heartland Value mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Heartland Value's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Heartland Value returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Heartland Value has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Heartland Value regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Heartland Value mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Heartland Value mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Heartland Value mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Heartland Value Lagged Returns

When evaluating Heartland Value's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Heartland Value mutual fund have on its future price. Heartland Value autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Heartland Value autocorrelation shows the relationship between Heartland Value mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Heartland Value Plus.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Heartland Mutual Fund

Heartland Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Heartland Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Heartland with respect to the benefits of owning Heartland Value security.
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