Neinor Homes (Spain) Market Value

HOME Stock  EUR 15.30  0.10  0.66%   
Neinor Homes' market value is the price at which a share of Neinor Homes trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Neinor Homes SLU investors about its performance. Neinor Homes is trading at 15.30 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 0.66 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 15.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Neinor Homes SLU and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Neinor Homes over a given investment horizon. Check out Neinor Homes Correlation, Neinor Homes Volatility and Neinor Homes Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Neinor Homes.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Neinor Homes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Neinor Homes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Neinor Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Neinor Homes 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Neinor Homes' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Neinor Homes.
0.00
09/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Neinor Homes on September 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Neinor Homes SLU or generate 0.0% return on investment in Neinor Homes over 60 days. Neinor Homes is related to or competes with International Consolidated, Merlin Properties, Aena SA, Acerinox, and ACS Actividades. Neinor Homes, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, develops, promotes, rental, and manages real estate properties in Sp... More

Neinor Homes Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Neinor Homes' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Neinor Homes SLU upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Neinor Homes Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Neinor Homes' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Neinor Homes' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Neinor Homes historical prices to predict the future Neinor Homes' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8315.2016.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2112.5816.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.8115.1816.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6515.0715.49
Details

Neinor Homes SLU Backtested Returns

Neinor Homes appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Neinor Homes SLU has Sharpe Ratio of 0.21, which conveys that the firm had a 0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Neinor Homes, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Neinor Homes' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1556, downside deviation of 1.13, and Mean Deviation of 0.9571 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Neinor Homes holds a performance score of 16. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0631, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Neinor Homes are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Neinor Homes is likely to outperform the market. Please check Neinor Homes' information ratio, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Neinor Homes' current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Neinor Homes SLU has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Neinor Homes time series from 23rd of September 2024 to 23rd of October 2024 and 23rd of October 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Neinor Homes SLU price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Neinor Homes price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Neinor Homes SLU lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Neinor Homes stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Neinor Homes' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Neinor Homes returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Neinor Homes has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Neinor Homes regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Neinor Homes stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Neinor Homes stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Neinor Homes stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Neinor Homes Lagged Returns

When evaluating Neinor Homes' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Neinor Homes stock have on its future price. Neinor Homes autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Neinor Homes autocorrelation shows the relationship between Neinor Homes stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Neinor Homes SLU.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Neinor Stock

Neinor Homes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neinor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neinor with respect to the benefits of owning Neinor Homes security.