Heating Oil's market value is the price at which a share of Heating Oil trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Heating Oil investors about its performance. Heating Oil is trading at 2.39 as of the 15th of February 2026, a 2.05 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The commodity's lowest day price was 2.36. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Heating Oil and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Heating Oil over a given investment horizon. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any commodity could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.
Symbol
Heating
Heating Oil 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Heating Oil's commodity what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Heating Oil.
0.00
11/17/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 3 months and 1 day
02/15/2026
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in Heating Oil on November 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Heating Oil or generate 0.0% return on investment in Heating Oil over 90 days.
Heating Oil Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Heating Oil's commodity current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Heating Oil upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Heating Oil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Heating Oil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Heating Oil historical prices to predict the future Heating Oil's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Heating Oil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Heating Oil February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
Heating Oil holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0276, which attests that the entity had a -0.0276 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Heating Oil exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Heating Oil's market risk adjusted performance of 0.1953, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0027 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The commodity retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Heating Oil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Heating Oil is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation
-0.72
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Heating Oil has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Heating Oil time series from 17th of November 2025 to 1st of January 2026 and 1st of January 2026 to 15th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Heating Oil price movement. The serial correlation of -0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current Heating Oil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.72
Spearman Rank Test
-0.66
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.02
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