Happy Town Holdings Stock Market Value
| HPTN Stock | USD 0.0004 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Happy |
Happy Town 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Happy Town's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Happy Town.
| 11/30/2025 |
| 12/30/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Happy Town on November 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Happy Town Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Happy Town over 30 days. Happy Town is related to or competes with Reeds,, Oliveda International, Crimson Wine, and Warpaint London. Red Eye Guys Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops and manufactures Biologix Hair Therapy System, a compound and deli... More
Happy Town Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Happy Town's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Happy Town Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.1386 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 200.0 |
Happy Town Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Happy Town's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Happy Town's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Happy Town historical prices to predict the future Happy Town's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1093 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 3.22 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.8557 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.8705 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Happy Town's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Happy Town Holdings Backtested Returns
Happy Town is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Happy Town Holdings holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for seventeen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 3.65% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Happy Town Holdings Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.8805, risk adjusted performance of 0.1093, and Standard Deviation of 24.9 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Happy Town holds a performance score of 11 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 4.05, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Happy Town will likely underperform. Use Happy Town Holdings information ratio and rate of daily change , to analyze future returns on Happy Town Holdings.
Auto-correlation | 0.00 |
No correlation between past and present
Happy Town Holdings has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Happy Town time series from 30th of November 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 30th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Happy Town Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Happy Town price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.0 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 1.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Happy Town Holdings lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Happy Town pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Happy Town's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Happy Town returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Happy Town has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Happy Town regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Happy Town pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Happy Town pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Happy Town pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Happy Town Lagged Returns
When evaluating Happy Town's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Happy Town pink sheet have on its future price. Happy Town autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Happy Town autocorrelation shows the relationship between Happy Town pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Happy Town Holdings.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Happy Town
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Happy Town position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Happy Town will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Happy Pink Sheet
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Happy Town could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Happy Town when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Happy Town - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Happy Town Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Happy Town is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Happy Town moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Happy Town Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Happy Town can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Happy Pink Sheet
Happy Town financial ratios help investors to determine whether Happy Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Happy with respect to the benefits of owning Happy Town security.