Global X Natural Etf Market Value

HUN Etf  CAD 7.69  0.10  1.32%   
Global X's market value is the price at which a share of Global X trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global X Natural investors about its performance. Global X is selling at 7.69 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 1.32 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 7.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global X Natural and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global X over a given investment horizon. Check out Global X Correlation, Global X Volatility and Global X Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global X.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global X's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global X is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global X's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global X 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global X's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global X.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global X on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global X Natural or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global X over 30 days. Global X is related to or competes with IShares Gold, and IShares SPTSX. The Horizons NYMEX Natural Gas ETF seeks investment results, before fees, expenses, distributions, brokerage commissions... More

Global X Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global X's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global X Natural upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global X Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global X's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global X's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global X historical prices to predict the future Global X's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.357.6910.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.997.339.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.467.8010.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.677.297.90
Details

Global X Natural Backtested Returns

As of now, Global Etf is somewhat reliable. Global X Natural holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0133, which attests that the entity had a 0.0133% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Global X Natural, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Global X's Standard Deviation of 2.3, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.58) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0311%. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Global X's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global X is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

Global X Natural has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global X time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global X Natural price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Global X price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Global X Natural lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global X etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global X's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global X returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global X has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global X regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global X etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global X etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global X etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global X Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global X's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global X etf have on its future price. Global X autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global X autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global X etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global X Natural.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Global X

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Global X position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Global X will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Global Etf

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Global X could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Global X when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Global X - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Global X Natural to buy it.
The correlation of Global X is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Global X moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Global X Natural moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Global X can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Global Etf

Global X financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global X security.