Ishares Ibonds Dec Etf Market Value
| IBTJ Etf | USD 21.42 0.01 0.05% |
| Symbol | IShares |
The market value of iShares iBonds Dec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IShares IBonds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IShares IBonds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IShares IBonds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IShares IBonds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares IBonds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares IBonds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares IBonds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
IShares IBonds 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to IShares IBonds' etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of IShares IBonds.
| 08/02/2023 |
| 11/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in IShares IBonds on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding iShares iBonds Dec or generate 0.0% return on investment in IShares IBonds over 480 days. IShares IBonds is related to or competes with IShares IBonds, IShares IBonds, IShares IBonds, IShares IBonds, and IShares IBonds. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and will inve... More
IShares IBonds Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure IShares IBonds' etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess iShares iBonds Dec upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.69) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.32) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3221 |
IShares IBonds Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for IShares IBonds' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as IShares IBonds' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use IShares IBonds historical prices to predict the future IShares IBonds' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.585 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IShares IBonds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
iShares iBonds Dec Backtested Returns
iShares iBonds Dec holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the entity had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. iShares iBonds Dec exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out IShares IBonds' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10), market risk adjusted performance of 0.595, and Standard Deviation of 0.2195 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0539, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning IShares IBonds are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, IShares IBonds is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.82 |
Very good predictability
iShares iBonds Dec has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between IShares IBonds time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of iShares iBonds Dec price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current IShares IBonds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.82 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.72 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.21 |
iShares iBonds Dec lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is IShares IBonds etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting IShares IBonds' etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of IShares IBonds returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that IShares IBonds has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
IShares IBonds regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If IShares IBonds etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if IShares IBonds etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in IShares IBonds etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
IShares IBonds Lagged Returns
When evaluating IShares IBonds' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of IShares IBonds etf have on its future price. IShares IBonds autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, IShares IBonds autocorrelation shows the relationship between IShares IBonds etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in iShares iBonds Dec.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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IShares IBonds technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.