IShares Treasury (UK) Market Value

IDTL Etf   3.39  0.01  0.30%   
IShares Treasury's market value is the price at which a share of IShares Treasury trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of iShares Treasury Bond investors about its performance. IShares Treasury is selling for under 3.39 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.30% up since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 3.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of iShares Treasury Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in IShares Treasury over a given investment horizon. Check out IShares Treasury Correlation, IShares Treasury Volatility and IShares Treasury Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on IShares Treasury.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Treasury's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Treasury is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Treasury's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

IShares Treasury 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to IShares Treasury's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of IShares Treasury.
0.00
09/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in IShares Treasury on September 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding iShares Treasury Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in IShares Treasury over 60 days. IShares Treasury is related to or competes with IShares MSCI, IShares JP, IShares MSCI, IShares Nasdaq, IShares Global, and IShares MSCI. IShares Treasury is entity of United Kingdom More

IShares Treasury Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure IShares Treasury's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess iShares Treasury Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

IShares Treasury Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for IShares Treasury's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as IShares Treasury's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use IShares Treasury historical prices to predict the future IShares Treasury's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.493.384.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.193.083.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.493.384.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.353.413.47
Details

iShares Treasury Bond Backtested Returns

iShares Treasury Bond holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.11, which attests that the entity had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. iShares Treasury Bond exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out IShares Treasury's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4033, standard deviation of 0.88, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.31, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning IShares Treasury are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, IShares Treasury is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

iShares Treasury Bond has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between IShares Treasury time series from 23rd of September 2024 to 23rd of October 2024 and 23rd of October 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of iShares Treasury Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current IShares Treasury price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

iShares Treasury Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is IShares Treasury etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting IShares Treasury's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of IShares Treasury returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that IShares Treasury has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

IShares Treasury regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If IShares Treasury etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if IShares Treasury etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in IShares Treasury etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

IShares Treasury Lagged Returns

When evaluating IShares Treasury's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of IShares Treasury etf have on its future price. IShares Treasury autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, IShares Treasury autocorrelation shows the relationship between IShares Treasury etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in iShares Treasury Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether iShares Treasury Bond is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if IShares Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Ishares Treasury Bond Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Ishares Treasury Bond Etf:
Check out IShares Treasury Correlation, IShares Treasury Volatility and IShares Treasury Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on IShares Treasury.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
IShares Treasury technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of IShares Treasury technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of IShares Treasury trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...