Federated Emerging Market Fund Market Value

IHIAX Fund  USD 7.91  0.01  0.13%   
Federated Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Federated Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Federated Emerging Market investors about its performance. Federated Emerging is trading at 7.91 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.13 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Federated Emerging Market and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Federated Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Federated Emerging Correlation, Federated Emerging Volatility and Federated Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Federated Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Federated Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federated Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federated Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Federated Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Emerging.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Federated Emerging on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Emerging Market or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Emerging over 30 days. Federated Emerging is related to or competes with Fidelity New, HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, and High-yield Municipal. The fund will invest its assets so that at least 80 percent of its net assets are invested in emerging market fixed-inco... More

Federated Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Emerging Market upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Federated Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Emerging historical prices to predict the future Federated Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.637.908.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.647.918.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.597.868.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.817.877.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Federated Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Federated Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Federated Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Federated Emerging Market.

Federated Emerging Market Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider FEDERATED Mutual Fund to be very steady. Federated Emerging Market secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0374, which denotes the fund had a 0.0374% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Federated Emerging Market, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Federated Emerging's Mean Deviation of 0.1879, downside deviation of 0.2782, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4428.28 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0103%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.054, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federated Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Federated Emerging Market has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Emerging time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Emerging Market price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Federated Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Federated Emerging Market lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Federated Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federated Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federated Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federated Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Federated Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federated Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federated Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federated Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Federated Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Federated Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federated Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Federated Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federated Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federated Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federated Emerging Market.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in FEDERATED Mutual Fund

Federated Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether FEDERATED Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FEDERATED with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Emerging security.
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